Question 3 · Introducció a la Macroeconomia UPF 2019

Tema: Creixement a llarg termini: el model de Solow · Del examen Final Exam - March 2019 (2019)

Enunciado

Question 3 (1.5 points). Solow-Swan growth model with technological progress

Consider the Solow-Swan model with labor-augmenting technical progress and population growth. The aggregate production function is given by:

Y=Kα(AL)1−αY = K^\alpha (AL)^{1-\alpha}

where KK is physical capital, LL is labor, AA represents labor-augmenting technology, and α∈(0,1)\alpha \in (0,1) is an exogenous parameter. The growth rate of technology is gAg_A, the population/labor growth rate is gNg_N, capital depreciates at constant rate δ\delta, and the national saving rate is ss.

Part A (0.75 points, 0.15 points each): Express the steady-state values of the following variables in terms of exogenous parameters (s,gA,gN,δ)(s, g_A, g_N, \delta)

a.

Capital per effective worker k∗=KALk^* = \frac{K}{AL} and output per effective worker y∗=YALy^* = \frac{Y}{AL}.

b.

The long-run growth rate of aggregate GDP (YY).

c.

The long-run growth rate of output per worker (Y/LY/L).

d.

The steady-state capital-output ratio (K/YK/Y).

e.

Are standards of living improving while the economy is in steady state? Justify briefly.

Part B (0.75 points): Now suppose that the government introduces a tax exemption on pension contributions, inducing households to save a higher fraction of income. Use the provided Solow diagram to answer the following questions:

a.

How does the growth rate of per-capita income behave during the transition in the first few years?

b.

Is the growth rate of per-capita income affected in the long run?

c.

Will this policy lead to permanently higher steady-state consumption per worker? Explain.

Enunciado: Question 3 · Introducció a la Macroeconomia UPF 2019

Solución

Según los criterios oficiales de corrección

a. Capital per effective worker k∗=KALk^* = \frac{K}{AL}

Solución: (sδ+gA+gN)11−α\left(\frac{s}{\delta + g_A + g_N}\right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha}}

a. Output per effective worker y∗=YALy^* = \frac{Y}{AL}

Solución: (sδ+gA+gN)α1−α\left(\frac{s}{\delta + g_A + g_N}\right)^{\frac{\alpha}{1-\alpha}}

b. The long-run growth rate of aggregate GDP (YY)

Solución: gY=gA+gNg_Y = g_A + g_N

c. The long-run growth rate of output per worker (Y/LY/L)

Solución: gY/L=gAg_{Y/L} = g_A

d. The steady-state capital-output ratio (K/YK/Y)

Solución: sδ+gA+gN\frac{s}{\delta + g_A + g_N}

e. Are standards of living improving while the economy is in steady state? Justify briefly.

Solución: Yes, because output per capita (and consequently per-capita consumption) grows continuously at the rate of technological progress gA>0g_A > 0.

Part B a. How does the growth rate of per-capita income behave during the transition in the first few years?

Solución: An increase from s0s_0 to s1s_1 shifts the saving curve upward to s1f(k)s_1 f(k). Because investment exceeds break-even investment, capital deepening occurs. During the transitional years, the growth rate of per-capita income temporarily exceeds gAg_A.

Part B b. Is the growth rate of per-capita income affected in the long run?

Solución: No. Once the economy reaches the new steady state (K/AN)1(K/AN)_1, the growth rate of per-capita income returns to its original rate gAg_A.

Part B c. Will this policy lead to permanently higher steady-state consumption per worker? Explain.

Solución: Not necessarily. While per-capita output y∗y^* is permanently higher, steady-state consumption per worker is c∗=(1−s)y∗c^* = (1-s)y^*. Consumption increases only if the original saving rate was below the Golden Rule level (s<sGR=αs < s_{GR} = \alpha); if the economy was already beyond the Golden Rule, higher saving reduces per-capita consumption.

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